Robust Desmoothed Real Estate Returns

Forecasting real estate returns using financial spreads

This paper examines the predictability of real estate asset returns using a number of time series techniques. A vector autoregressive model, which incorporates financial spreads, is able to improve upon the out of sample forecasting performance of univariate time series models at a short forecasting horizon. However, as the forecasting horizon increases, the explanatory power of such models is ...

What factors determine international real estate security returns ?

In this paper, we use constrained cross-section regressions to disentangle the effects of various factors on real estate security returns in 21 countries. A better knowledge of the risk factors driving real estate returns is crucial, whether a pure real estate portfolio is constructed, or whether real estate is considered as an alternative asset class within the traditional stock portfolio. Bes...

Paper 2: Coskewness in European Real Estate Equity Returns

Structure Depreciation and Returns to Scale of Real Estate∗

This study analyzes the real estate production function and economic depreciation of structures by using data from Japan and the U.S. Real estate exhibits decreasing returns in the U.S. but constant returns in Japan. Land and structures are substitutes in both countries. The property depreciation rate is larger for newer and denser properties located away from the Central Business District (CBD...

Real Interest Rates, Expected Inflation, and Real Estate Returns: A Comparison of the U.S. and Canada

In the United States, but not in Canada, nominal interest on residential housing mortgages is a deductible expense for the personal income tax. This suggests that changes in nominal interest rates could conceivably have differing impacts on real estate values in the two countries. The inflation component of nominal interest should have a negative impact on Canadian real estate, but its effect s...